Knowing How to Change Your Mind: A Three Minute Guide to Bayesian Reasoning
NEW LESSON
with Julia Galef
Since you cannot really be 100 percent certain of a theory, a better way to put it to yourself is to say "I think this is very likely to be true." http://bigthink.com/big-think-mentor/knowing-how-to-change-your-mind-a-three-minute-guide-to-bayesian-reasoning
via Blogger http://www.swmm5.net/2013/10/knowing-how-to-change-your-mind-three.html